The overachieving New York Giants (5-1) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) for just the second regular season meeting between the two sides in the last 7 seasons. The Giants are fresh off of a massive win against the Ravens to stretch their winning streak to 3 games, but the bookies still have the Jags as favorites in this one. Kickoff is set for 1 PM EST at Jacksonville’s TIAA Bank Field.
New York Giants v. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Breakdown
Moneyline : New York Giants (+135) v. Jacksonville Jaguars (-155) at MyBookie.ag
Spread : New York Giants +3 (-110) v. Jacksonville Jaguars -3 (-110)
Over/Under : 43 Points
New York Giants v. Jacksonville Jaguars Quick Hits
- Jacksonville needs to make the Giants win through the air
This is a Giants team who have been able to move the ball on the ground without having to ever really rely on the passing game. Jones has thrown for 200+ yards just once, his 71 passing yards vs the Bears was the lowest in a win for any QB so far this year. Jacksonville would drastically improve their percentage of winning this game if they’re able to shut down the run game and force Dan Jones to move the ball through the air.
- Giants have great game management
At 5-1, the Giants are the NFL’s biggest surprise, simply because they aren’t a great team on paper. They’ve overcome injuries and lack of depth with great game management and timely defensive stops. The Giants don’t aren’t beating themselves either this year. New York has turned the ball over just 6 times this season, tied for the 7th-lowest total in the league. Can the Giants continue to dictate the pace of the game and come up with another unexpected win?
- Saquon v J-ville run defense
Barkley has led this Giants team on offense, rushing for 70+ yards in all six games so far this season, and rushing for 616 yards overall, second most in the league. Jacksonville is giving up just 89.3 rush yards a game, third best in the NFL, and they’re giving up even less in home games. This matchup will be a deciding factor in who takes this game.
New York Giants v. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline Play : Jaguars (-155)
The Jacksonville Jags break their three game losing streak while simultaneously ending the Giants three game winning streak, and it should be comfortable for the home team. Despite their 5-1 record, the Giants are not capable of putting up points in bunches; And with their defense already over-performing as it is, this could be the week that the Giants and their fans come back down to earth a bit. If Jacksonville can create third and medium or long situations throughout the game and stifle the predictable Giants run game, they’ll take care of business on Sunday
Trevor Lawrence and the Jags offense looked good in a losing effort last week in Indianapolis. Lawrence completed 90% of his passes and put up 27 points as an offense behind a well-rounded attack. Look for Lawrence and the Jags to get a similar level of production, only this time, the defense will be able to put together a much better performance against a one-dimensional Giants offense. Daniel Jones is averaging only 170.2 passing yards per game, 4th lowest behind Cooper Rush, Mitch Trubisky, and Justin Fields. Unless Jacksonville allows Barkley to have a massive 150+ yard, 2 TD day, the Jags get this one done at home.
New York Giants v. Jacksonville Jaguars Best Player Props
- Trevor Lawrence : Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+105)
Lawrence has had an up and down season to this point, but a matchup against the Giants presents a good opportunity for the young QB to put in another solid performance. Lawrence had one of his best games against the Chargers 3-4 defense, and the Giants D represents a similar challenge. Lawrence was able to tear into the Chargers cover 4 zone in a number of instances in Week 3, and that’s a coverage that the Giants implement heavily without the personnel to go cover 0 when they blitz. Expect Lawrence to target his tight end Evan Ingram and the running backs out of the backfield in a game that should yield 2+ passing scores from Lawrence. Find odds at BetUS.com
- Saquon Barkley : Under 76.5 rushing yards (EVEN)
The Jags have been stingy against the run at home, allowing just 85 yards on the ground per home game, 5th best in the league. On top of that, Barkley is coming off of yet another high volume performance that saw him carry the rock 22 times for 83 yards against a physical Ravens D. Barkley’s 119 carries is the most in the NFL so far, but this could be the week we see this workload lightened a bit. Saquon has been dealing with a shoulder injury that has limited him in practice this week, but he’s still expected to make the start. It’s possible that the Giants will expect more out of experienced backup Matt Breida this week just to lighten the load off of the starboy Barkley. See Barley’s injury report here
- Daniel Jones : Under 194.5 passing yards (-115)
Jones will struggle to put up yardage through the air this Sunday, but it’s not entirely his fault. This receiving corps is one of the weakest parts of this Giants team, and injuries to Sterling Shepard, Kadarius Toney, and Kenny Golladay leaves the Giants relying on unproven and mid-tier receivers to produce. With unreliable targets, plus an above-average pass defense from Jacksonville, don’t expect Jones to eclipse this 194 yard mark.