Top Serie A Matches Betting Analysis & Odds for Matchday 38

Heading into Matchday 38, AC Milan has a 2-point lead over Inter Milano for the Italian Serie A title. On Sunday, Milan heads to Sassuolo. At the same time on Sunday, Inter hosts Sampdoria. Check out Serie A odds, analysis, and free picks for Inter versus Sampdoria, AC Milan versus Sassuolo, and four other terrific Serie A contests during Matchday 38.

Top Italy Serie A Matchday 38 Games to Wager On (May 21st – 22nd)

Juventus Turin +255 vs ACF Fiorentina +101

  • When: Saturday, May 21 at 2:45 pm ET

Neither squad is playing well. Home team ACF Fiorentina has a victory and 4 losses in their last 5. Juventus Turin has 2 losses and a draw in their last 3.

Although Fiorentina’s victory happened versus a strong team, AS Roma, it’s tough to back the home squad at the odds. Juve’s odds make them an overlay. Also, the road team has won the last couple of head-to-head matches. 

Soccer Pick: Juventus Turin  

Empoli FC +1 ½ +129 vs Atalanta BC -1 ½ -166

  • When: Saturday, May 21 at 2:45 pm ET

This happens on Atalanta’s pitch, which is one of the reasons they’re such a huge favorite. Another reason? In the last head-to-head, Atalanta blasted Empoli 4-1.

But although Empoli is up against it in this match, Atalanta lost 2-0 versus AC Milan in their last and shows 2 draws and 2 victories overall in their last 5. Empoli can keep this to a 1 goal loss. 

Soccer Pick: Empoli FC +1 ½  

Hellas Verona + ½ +120 vs Lazio Rome  -½ -153  

  • When: Saturday, May 21 at 2:45 pm ET

Hellas’ form has turned south. On May 8, AC Milan blasted the road team 3-1. Then on May 14, Torino beat Hellas 1-0.

Lazio has won 2 with a draw in their last 3. The draw happened in their last match on May 16 versus Juventus. Lazio has the edge because this happens on their pitch. But at +½, where a draw wins back our bet, Hellas is the play.   

Soccer Pick: Hellas Verona  +½  

SSC Napoli -1 ½ +130 vs Spezia Calcio +1 ½ -166

  • When: Sunday, May 22 at 6:30 am ET

Home team Spezia heads into this off an excellent performance. On May 14, Spezia beat Udinese 3-2. In the last head-to-head, Spezia upset Napoli 1-0.

But although all signs point to a Spezia victory, at least a Spezia handicap win, Napoli is the play. The road team has won 3 straight. 2-of-3 wins were by at least 3 goals, including a 6-1 beating Napoli handed to Sassuolo on April 30. Napoli can cover this handicap. 

Soccer Pick: Napoli -1 ½ 

AC Milan -1 ½ +115 vs Sassuolo Calcio +1 ½ -147

  • When: Sunday, May 22 at 12:00 pm ET

Serie A leader AC Milan is on fire. The road team in this has won 4 straight. In their last couple of matches, Milan has rolled, dusting Hellas Verona 3-1 and blasting Atalanta 2-0. 

Sassuolo won the last head-to-head via a surprising 3-1 score. But the match happened on Nov. 28. Since then, AC has become a much better team. Milan wins by at least 2. 

Soccer Pick: AC Milan -1 ½

Sampdoria Genoa +2 ½ -119 vs Inter Milano -2 ½ -106

  • When: Sunday, May 22 at 12:00 pm ET

Inter has won 4 straight. In their last 3, Inter has won by 2 goals, beating Empoli 4-2, Juventus 4-2, and Cagliari 3-1.

On May 8 last year, Inter blasted Sampdoria 5-1. In the last head-to-head, though, Sampdoria forced a 2-2 draw. This happens on Inter’s pitch. So Milano could very well win this by 3 or more goals. But Sampdoria stepped it up in the last head-to-head. So we will take the 2 ½. 

Soccer Pick: Sampdoria +2 ½


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