Week 13 College Football Trend Picks

November 24, 2021

We will be sharing the games we have isolated where there is a strong and obvious trend. Often times there are good trends within a matchup but they are cancelled out by conflicting trends. In this article we are sharing the picks which are supported by current trend data and are not conflicted in any way.

The college football season is nearing its regular season end and this week is what many consider to be the “grand finale” in that all teams in the country are still playing and many are trying their best to become bowl eligible. Its also “rivalry” week because many in-state programs or rivals otherwise play this week. Its an exciting time of year to be a college football fan and sports bettor.

Utah vs Colorado

This game doesnt have a lot of implications for Colorado as they are 4-7 and are not headed to the post-season. Utah however is planning on winning this game and making a case for a good bowl berth. The line currently has Utah favored by 23.5 points at online sportsbooks.

  • Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • Utah is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
  • Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
  • Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
  • Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
  • Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
  • Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road

There is clear and obvious trend data saying that Utah minus the points is the play here.

 

Florida State vs Florida

This in-state rivalry isn’t as sparkly as years past. Both teams are mediocre at best. FSU is slowly ascending from the bottom while UF is heading straight for it. In fact, they fired HC Coach Mullen because the program is a mess.

The betting trends happen to be pointing in the same direction as the actual team trends.

  • Florida State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Florida State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • Florida State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida
  • Florida State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
  • Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
  • The Gators are 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The Gators are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

 

Georgia Tech vs Georgia

The best team in the land faces off against their instate rivals. The Bulldogs are having their best year ever and at Georgia Tech its another middling type year. Tech is coming off a loss where they got steamrolled by Notre Dame 55-0. Georgia is 10-0 and ranked #1 in the land. The college football point spread currently has Georgia favored by 35.5 points. Trends point to a win and cover by the Bulldogs.

  • Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Georgia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
  • Georgia is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Georgia Tech
  • Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
  • Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
  • Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • Tech is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Tech is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home

 

Miami vs Duke

Miami has really salvaged a season which looked like it was going to be a disaster. They have won four out of their last five games. Duke on the other hand is having a terrible season. They are coming off 5 shellackings in a row. The Blue Devils allow almost 500 yards and 40 points per game. Miami is -21.5 at top sportsbooks.

  • Miami-FL is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Miami-FL is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Miami-FL is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Miami-FL is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Miami-FL is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Duke
  • Miami-FL is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Duke
  • Miami-FL is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Duke
  • Miami-FL is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Duke

 

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt

Vandy has been awful as usual. They cannot seem to  put a competitive team on the field. Tennessee had a lot of promise this season but fell flat. But that doesn’t mean that they cannot be favored by a lot of points over a lesser opponent. They are currently 31.5 point favorites at recommended sportsbooks. Judging by the trends you should back the Commodores over the Volunteers in this one.

  • Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Vanderbilt is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
  • Vanderbilt is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Tennessee
  • Tennessee is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games

 

SMU vs Tulsa

Tulsa has underperformed a bit this year and is looking to pulling even with a .500 record with a win over SMU. The Mustangs of SMU are having a good year and come into this game with a 8-3 record. They are looking to rebound after getting smacked around by Cincinnati last weekend. SMU is favored by 6.5 points at various online sportsbooks.

Tulsa looks like they should cover the line in this game.

  • Tulsa is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
  • Tulsa is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
  • Tulsa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Southern Methodist
  • Tulsa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Southern Methodist
  • Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodist
  • Tulsa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Tulsa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Southern Methodist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

 

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Category: 2021, College, Football